KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·1st Preliminary Round
ACV
vs
Westlandia
6 – 1 Full time
ACV
35%
Draw
24%
Westlandia
41%
ACV vs Westlandia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ACV vs Westlandia
| Probability | ACV | Draw | Westlandia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 24.4% | 40.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.8% | 24.4% | 40.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
66%
No goals
4%
ACV and Westlandia expected goals
ACV
1.64
Westlandia
1.79
Total expected goals: 3.42
ACV and Westlandia attack and defence ratings
ACV
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Westlandia
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ACV vs Westlandia: result vs prediction
ACV 6 – 1 Westlandia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
- TEC vs Almkerk — team news & stats
- Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31
- SC Genemuiden v FC Lisse — match page
- Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal — team news & stats
- ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis
- Sportlust '46 v Blauw Geel — match page
- Be Quick 1887 vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats
- AFC '34 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Before and after this match
ACV vs Westlandia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Westlandia | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ACV | 34.8% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Westlandia | 40.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% |
| No | 32.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Westlandia win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 59.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
ACV vs Westlandia stats
ACV and Westlandia recent form
| ACV |
L |
| Westlandia |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.