Garuda Lions
Today
KNVB Beker · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

ACV vs Hoogeveen

2 – 1 Full time

30′A. Jankovic
84′T. van der Werff
90′ACV

Sportpark ICT Specialist, Assen

ACV 67%
Draw 17%
Hoogeveen 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

ACV vs Hoogeveen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ACV vs Hoogeveen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityACVDrawHoogeveen
Model42.6%19.8%37.6%
Market75.5%15.4%9.1%
Final67.3%16.5%16.2%
Edge-32.9%+4.4%+28.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ACV ↓ / Hoogeveen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 6% 4% 4% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 4% 4% 4+ 5% 6% 5% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 85%
No goals 1%

ACV and Hoogeveen expected goals

ACV 2.45
Hoogeveen 2.31

Total expected goals: 4.76

ACV and Hoogeveen attack and defence ratings

ACV

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Hoogeveen

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ACV vs Hoogeveen: result vs prediction

ACV 2 – 1 Hoogeveen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

ACV vs Hoogeveen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ACV 67.3% 1.49 -32.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 85.4% 1.17 — —
Both teams to score Yes 82.8% 1.21 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.8% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.4% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ACV67.3%
Draw16.5%
Hoogeveen16.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.585.4%
Under 2.514.6%
Both teams to scoreYes82.8%
No17.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.8%
12 (either side)83.5%
X2 (draw or away)32.7%
Handicap -1ACV win25.9%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss57.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.9%
2-15.9%
3-25.6%

ACV vs Hoogeveen stats

ACV and Hoogeveen recent form

newest first
ACV WL
Hoogeveen DLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

ACV vs Hoogeveen head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

ACV vs Hoogeveen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 75.5%, draw 15.4%, away 9.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.20 5.90 10.00
Bet365 1.25 5.75 11.00
Betano 1.23 5.70 8.25
Betfair 1.17 6.50 10.00
Marathonbet 1.18 5.95 9.50
Pinnacle 1.20 5.88 7.74
William Hill 1.25 5.50 10.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.20 ▼ -0.03
X 5.88 ▲ +0.48
2 10.00 ▲ +1.20

2 snapshots recorded, from .