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KNVB Beker · Full time ·Round of 64

ACV vs AFC Amsterdam

1 – 2 Full time

35′Y. Hettinga
64′S. DzemidzicE. Krasniqi
64′S. PotmaE. Mansaray
72′S. de MooijT. Hovenkamp
72′D. NunumeteD. Scholtens
72′T. LemmenJ. Oosterhof
83′A. BensabouhG. de Jager
83′T. NimmermeerD. Gouda
86′T. LetschertG. Markiet
89′J. SchravenS. Dijkstra
90′D. Scholtens
95′Y. HettingaD. Smid
100′T. Hovenkamp
105′M. ElstakF. van der Linden
109′T. van der Werff
111′S. Dijkstra
114′M. Klopper
115′D. Gouda
120′T. van der Werff
120′D. Smid

Sportpark ICT Specialist, AssenReferee: M. Broekhuizen

ACV 33%
Draw 23%
AFC Amsterdam 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

ACV vs AFC Amsterdam overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ACV vs AFC Amsterdam

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityACVDrawAFC Amsterdam
Model32.4%21.2%46.5%
Market32.6%24.0%43.4%
Final32.5%23.3%44.2%
Edge-0.1%-0.7%+0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why AFC Amsterdam

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.91.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ACV ↓ / AFC Amsterdam → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 4% 1 7% 8% 6% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

ACV and AFC Amsterdam expected goals

ACV 1.91
AFC Amsterdam 2.29

Total expected goals: 4.20

ACV and AFC Amsterdam attack and defence ratings

ACV

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.93 -7%

AFC Amsterdam

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ACV vs AFC Amsterdam: result vs prediction

ACV 1 – 2 AFC Amsterdam

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

ACV vs AFC Amsterdam markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AFC Amsterdam 44.2% 2.26 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.0% 1.27 — —
Both teams to score Yes 77.2% 1.29 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ACV32.5%
Draw23.3%
AFC Amsterdam44.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.0%
Under 2.521.0%
Both teams to scoreYes77.2%
No22.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.8%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)67.5%
Handicap -1AFC Amsterdam win28.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-27.5%
1-17.2%
2-27.2%

ACV vs AFC Amsterdam stats

ACV and AFC Amsterdam recent form

newest first
ACV WWL
AFC Amsterdam WWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

ACV vs AFC Amsterdam head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1ACV wins 2Draws 3AFC Amsterdam wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31AFC AmsterdamACVTweede Divisie1-1
2025-09-06ACVAFC AmsterdamTweede Divisie0-1
2025-01-11ACVAFC AmsterdamTweede Divisie3-2
2024-08-17AFC AmsterdamACVTweede Divisie1-1
2024-05-11AFC AmsterdamACVTweede Divisie3-0
2023-12-02ACVAFC AmsterdamTweede Divisie0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ACV vs AFC Amsterdam odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.6%, draw 24.0%, away 43.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.58 3.96 2.24
Bet365 3.30 4.00 1.95
BetVictor 2.90 3.60 2.10
Betano 2.80 3.65 2.10
Betfair 2.80 3.75 2.10
Dafabet 3.25 4.00 2.02
Marathonbet 2.58 3.96 2.24
Pinnacle 2.40 3.80 2.15
William Hill 2.80 3.70 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 ▼ -0.50
X 3.80 ▼ -0.10
2 2.10 ▲ +0.19

3 snapshots recorded, from .