KNVB Beker · Full time ·1st Preliminary Round

Hoogeveen vs SVZW

2 – 2 Full time

4′Hoogeveen
86′SVZW
88′Hoogeveen
102′SVZW
104′SVZW
112′Hoogeveen
120′Hoogeveen
120′SVZW
120′SVZW
120′Hoogeveen
120′Hoogeveen
120′SVZW
120′Hoogeveen
Hoogeveen 45%
Draw 21%
SVZW 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Hoogeveen vs SVZW overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hoogeveen vs SVZW

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHoogeveenDrawSVZW
Model44.7%20.9%34.4%
Market———
Final44.7%20.9%34.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hoogeveen ↓ / SVZW → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 6% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 6% 4% 4+ 5% 5% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

Hoogeveen and SVZW expected goals

Hoogeveen 2.30
SVZW 2.02

Total expected goals: 4.32

Hoogeveen and SVZW attack and defence ratings

Hoogeveen

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.03 +3%

SVZW

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hoogeveen vs SVZW: result vs prediction

Hoogeveen 2 – 2 SVZW

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

Hoogeveen vs SVZW markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hoogeveen 44.7% 2.24 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.6% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score Yes 78.7% 1.27 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.1% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.3% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hoogeveen44.7%
Draw20.9%
SVZW34.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.6%
Under 2.519.4%
Both teams to scoreYes78.7%
No21.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.6%
12 (either side)79.1%
X2 (draw or away)55.3%
Handicap -1Hoogeveen win26.9%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss55.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.2%
2-17.1%
1-16.8%

Hoogeveen vs SVZW stats

Hoogeveen and SVZW recent form

newest first
Hoogeveen LWWW
SVZW no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Hoogeveen vs SVZW head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Hoogeveen wins 0Draws 0SVZW wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-15HoogeveenSVZWDerde Divisie4-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hoogeveen vs SVZW odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.