KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·1st Preliminary Round
GOES
vs
Noordwijk
0 – 1 Full time
GOES
27%
Draw
23%
Noordwijk
51%
GOES vs Noordwijk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GOES vs Noordwijk
| Probability | GOES | Draw | Noordwijk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.6% | 22.5% | 50.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.6% | 22.5% | 50.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Noordwijk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.52.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 2 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
71%
No goals
3%
GOES and Noordwijk expected goals
GOES
1.52
Noordwijk
2.13
Total expected goals: 3.65
GOES and Noordwijk attack and defence ratings
GOES
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Noordwijk
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
GOES vs Noordwijk: result vs prediction
GOES 0 – 1 Noordwijk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
- TEC vs Almkerk — team news & stats
- Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31
- SC Genemuiden v FC Lisse — match page
- Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal — team news & stats
- ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis
- Sportlust '46 v Blauw Geel — match page
- Be Quick 1887 vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats
- AFC '34 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Before and after this match
GOES vs Noordwijk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Noordwijk | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GOES | 26.6% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Noordwijk | 50.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% |
| No | 30.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Noordwijk win | 30.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 49.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
GOES vs Noordwijk stats
GOES vs Noordwijk head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1GOES wins
1Draws
0Noordwijk wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | GOES | Noordwijk | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Noordwijk | GOES | Derde Divisie - Sunday | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.