KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·1st Preliminary Round
Groene Ster
vs
Heerjansdam
2 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | M. van der Made | ||
| 29′ | J. Bleijlevens | ||
| 63′ | Groene Ster |
Groene Ster
38%
Draw
23%
Heerjansdam
39%
Groene Ster vs Heerjansdam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Groene Ster vs Heerjansdam
| Probability | Groene Ster | Draw | Heerjansdam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.3% | 22.5% | 39.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.3% | 22.5% | 39.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Groene Ster and Heerjansdam expected goals
Groene Ster
1.94
Heerjansdam
1.96
Total expected goals: 3.90
Groene Ster and Heerjansdam attack and defence ratings
Groene Ster
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Heerjansdam
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Groene Ster vs Heerjansdam: result vs prediction
Groene Ster 2 – 1 Heerjansdam
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
- TEC vs Almkerk — team news & stats
- Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31
- SC Genemuiden v FC Lisse — match page
- Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal — team news & stats
- ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis
- Sportlust '46 v Blauw Geel — match page
- Be Quick 1887 vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats
- AFC '34 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Before and after this match
Groene Ster vs Heerjansdam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heerjansdam | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Groene Ster | 38.3% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Heerjansdam | 39.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% |
| No | 25.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Heerjansdam win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.4% |
| 1-2 | 7.5% | |
| 2-1 | 7.4% |
Groene Ster vs Heerjansdam stats
Groene Ster and Heerjansdam recent form
| Groene Ster |
DD |
| Heerjansdam |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.