Ijsselmeervogels
vs
Gemert
0 – 3 Full time
| 16′ | R. Kemper | ||
| 35′ | M. Bolhuis | ||
| 40′ | D. van Diepen |
Ijsselmeervogels vs Gemert overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ijsselmeervogels vs Gemert
| Probability | Ijsselmeervogels | Draw | Gemert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.0% | 28.2% | 45.9% |
| Market | 72.0% | 18.0% | 10.0% |
| Final | 60.5% | 20.5% | 19.0% |
| Edge | -46.0% | +10.2% | +35.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ijsselmeervogels and Gemert expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Ijsselmeervogels and Gemert attack and defence ratings
Ijsselmeervogels
Gemert
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ijsselmeervogels vs Gemert: result vs prediction
Ijsselmeervogels 0 – 3 Gemert
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Ijsselmeervogels vs Gemert markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ijsselmeervogels | 60.5% | 1.65 | -46.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ijsselmeervogels | 60.5% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Gemert | 19.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% |
| No | 47.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ijsselmeervogels win | 10.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.6% | |
| Loss | 74.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 0-1 | 10.1% | |
| 1-2 | 9.2% |
Ijsselmeervogels vs Gemert stats
Ijsselmeervogels and Gemert recent form
| Ijsselmeervogels |
L |
| Gemert |
WLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Ijsselmeervogels vs Gemert head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Ijsselmeervogels vs Gemert odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.0%, draw 18.0%, away 10.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.75 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.25 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 5.00 | 8.25 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 4.95 | 8.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 4.96 | 7.02 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.80 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .