KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·1st Preliminary Round
Lierop
vs
Zwaluwen
0 – 7 Full time
| 20′ | Zwaluwen | ||
| 51′ | Zwaluwen | ||
| 61′ | Zwaluwen | ||
| 67′ | Zwaluwen | ||
| 73′ | Zwaluwen | ||
| 76′ | Zwaluwen | ||
| 81′ | Zwaluwen |
Lierop
41%
Draw
23%
Zwaluwen
36%
Lierop vs Zwaluwen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lierop vs Zwaluwen
| Probability | Lierop | Draw | Zwaluwen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 23.0% | 35.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.3% | 23.0% | 35.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
Lierop and Zwaluwen expected goals
Lierop
1.95
Zwaluwen
1.81
Total expected goals: 3.76
Lierop and Zwaluwen attack and defence ratings
Lierop
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Zwaluwen
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lierop vs Zwaluwen: result vs prediction
Lierop 0 – 7 Zwaluwen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
- TEC vs Almkerk — team news & stats
- Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31
- SC Genemuiden v FC Lisse — match page
- Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal — team news & stats
- ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis
- Sportlust '46 v Blauw Geel — match page
- Be Quick 1887 vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats
- AFC '34 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Before and after this match
Lierop vs Zwaluwen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lierop | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lierop | 41.3% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Zwaluwen | 35.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.5% |
| No | 27.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lierop win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |