KNVB Beker
·
Full time
·1st Preliminary Round
Mierlo-Hout
vs
Groesbeek
2 – 2 Full time
Mierlo-Hout
33%
Draw
21%
Groesbeek
46%
Mierlo-Hout vs Groesbeek overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mierlo-Hout vs Groesbeek
| Probability | Mierlo-Hout | Draw | Groesbeek |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.8% | 21.0% | 46.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.8% | 21.0% | 46.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Groesbeek
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.95.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
80%
No goals
2%
Mierlo-Hout and Groesbeek expected goals
Mierlo-Hout
1.95
Groesbeek
2.31
Total expected goals: 4.26
Mierlo-Hout and Groesbeek attack and defence ratings
Mierlo-Hout
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Groesbeek
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mierlo-Hout vs Groesbeek: result vs prediction
Mierlo-Hout 2 – 2 Groesbeek
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures
- TEC vs Almkerk — team news & stats
- Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31
- SC Genemuiden v FC Lisse — match page
- Achilles Veen vs Poortugaal — team news & stats
- ADO '20 vs Excelsior Maassluis
- Sportlust '46 v Blauw Geel — match page
- Be Quick 1887 vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats
- AFC '34 vs VV Scherpenzeel
Before and after this match
Mierlo-Hout vs Groesbeek markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Groesbeek | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mierlo-Hout | 32.8% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Groesbeek | 46.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.9% |
| No | 22.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Groesbeek win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 53.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.3% |
| 2-2 | 7.2% | |
| 1-1 | 7.0% |
Mierlo-Hout vs Groesbeek stats
Mierlo-Hout and Groesbeek recent form
| Mierlo-Hout |
L |
| Groesbeek |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.