Garuda Lions
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KNVB Beker · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Groesbeek vs Kozakken Boys

1 – 5 Full time

6′J. Lommers
16′S. Jalloh
40′M. Maletic
50′M. Maletic
75′Groesbeek
82′M. Maletic
Groesbeek 32%
Draw 21%
Kozakken Boys 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Groesbeek vs Kozakken Boys overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Groesbeek vs Kozakken Boys

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGroesbeekDrawKozakken Boys
Model31.7%21.4%46.8%
Market———
Final31.7%21.4%46.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Kozakken Boys

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.86.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 2 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Groesbeek ↓ / Kozakken Boys → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 4% 1 8% 8% 6% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4% 4% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

Groesbeek and Kozakken Boys expected goals

Groesbeek 1.86
Kozakken Boys 2.26

Total expected goals: 4.11

Groesbeek and Kozakken Boys attack and defence ratings

Groesbeek

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Kozakken Boys

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Groesbeek vs Kozakken Boys: result vs prediction

Groesbeek 1 – 5 Kozakken Boys

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

Groesbeek vs Kozakken Boys markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kozakken Boys 46.8% 2.13 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.8% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.2% 1.31 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.2% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Groesbeek31.7%
Draw21.4%
Kozakken Boys46.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.8%
Under 2.522.2%
Both teams to scoreYes76.2%
No23.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.2%
12 (either side)78.6%
X2 (draw or away)68.3%
Handicap -1Kozakken Boys win28.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss53.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-27.7%
1-17.5%
2-27.2%

Groesbeek vs Kozakken Boys stats

Groesbeek and Kozakken Boys recent form

newest first
Groesbeek D
Kozakken Boys LW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Groesbeek vs Kozakken Boys head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Groesbeek vs Kozakken Boys odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.