Kozakken Boys
vs
Utrecht
0 – 1 Full time
| 38′ | Nikolas Panagiotou | ||
| 61′ | Milan van den BergMouad Hassan | ||
| 61′ | Ángel AlarcónArtem Stepanov | ||
| 61′ | Sem van DuijnMarius Broholm | ||
| 71′ | Dion VersluisJohnny Lommers | ||
| 71′ | Storm HopMarko Maletić | ||
| 81′ | Oualid AgougilNordin Amrabat | ||
| 81′ | Niklas VesterlundSiebe Horemans |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 314 | Accurate passes | 336 |
Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht
| Probability | Kozakken Boys | Draw | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.1% | 18.6% | 21.3% |
| Market | 13.9% | 18.6% | 67.5% |
| Final | 25.5% | 18.6% | 56.0% |
| Edge | +11.5% | +0.0% | -11.6% |
Why Utrecht
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kozakken Boys and Utrecht expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.37
Kozakken Boys and Utrecht attack and defence ratings
Kozakken Boys
Utrecht
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht: result vs prediction
Kozakken Boys 0 – 1 Utrecht
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Utrecht | 56.0% | 1.79 | -11.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kozakken Boys | 25.5% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| Utrecht | 56.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.9% |
| No | 24.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Utrecht win | 10.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.3% | |
| Loss | 78.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.7% |
| 3-1 | 7.0% | |
| 2-2 | 6.3% |
Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht stats
Kozakken Boys and Utrecht recent form
| Kozakken Boys |
WLW |
| Utrecht |
DWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 13.9%, draw 18.6%, away 67.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.02 | 4.95 | 1.36 |
| Bet365 | 6.50 | 5.25 | 1.38 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 6.10 | 4.85 | 1.40 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 6.60 | 5.40 | 1.41 |
| Marathonbet | 6.95 | 4.95 | 1.35 |
| Pinnacle | 5.75 | 4.71 | 1.36 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 4.60 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .