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KNVB Beker · Full time ·1st Preliminary Round

Sparta Nijkerk vs Venray

2 – 0 Full time

11′J. van Dalen
86′T. Buitink
Sparta Nijkerk 37%
Draw 23%
Venray 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Sparta Nijkerk vs Venray overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sparta Nijkerk vs Venray

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySparta NijkerkDrawVenray
Model37.1%23.3%39.6%
Market———
Final37.1%23.3%39.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sparta Nijkerk ↓ / Venray → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Sparta Nijkerk and Venray expected goals

Sparta Nijkerk 1.82
Venray 1.88

Total expected goals: 3.70

Sparta Nijkerk and Venray attack and defence ratings

Sparta Nijkerk

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Venray

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sparta Nijkerk vs Venray: result vs prediction

Sparta Nijkerk 2 – 0 Venray

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1st Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

Sparta Nijkerk vs Venray markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Venray 39.6% 2.52 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.5% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.9% 1.39 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.4% 1.66 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sparta Nijkerk37.1%
Draw23.3%
Venray39.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.5%
Under 2.528.5%
Both teams to scoreYes71.9%
No28.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.4%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)62.9%
Handicap -1Venray win21.8%
Push (exactly one goal)17.8%
Loss60.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.3%
1-28.0%
2-17.7%

Sparta Nijkerk vs Venray stats

Sparta Nijkerk and Venray recent form

newest first
Sparta Nijkerk LWW
Venray no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Sparta Nijkerk vs Venray head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sparta Nijkerk vs Venray odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.