KNVB Beker · 2026-09-23T18:00:00Z UTC Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Sparta Nijkerk vs UDI '19

3 – 1 Full time

8′			T. Buitink
39′			T. Buitink
50′			B. Geurts
67′			L. Slagveer

Sparta Nijkerk

27%

Draw

24%

UDI '19

48%

Confidence: Low · model-only, no market odds

Sparta Nijkerk vs UDI '19 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sparta Nijkerk vs UDI '19

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Sparta Nijkerk	Draw	UDI '19
Model	27.4%	24.4%	48.2%
Market	—	—	—
Final	27.4%	24.4%	48.2%
Edge	—	—	—

Confidence: Low

Why UDI '19

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.39.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

85%

3+ goals

63%

No goals

Sparta Nijkerk and UDI '19 expected goals

Sparta Nijkerk

1.39

UDI '19

1.88

Total expected goals: 3.27

Sparta Nijkerk and UDI '19 attack and defence ratings

Sparta Nijkerk

Attack

0.95 -5%

Defence

0.83 -17%

UDI '19

Attack

1.15 +15%

Defence

0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sparta Nijkerk vs UDI '19: result vs prediction

Sparta Nijkerk 3 – 1 UDI '19

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Eemdijk v Roosendaal — match page · 2026-09-22
Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam — team news & stats · 2026-09-22
RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg · 2026-09-22
Staphorst v SC Genemuiden — match page · 2026-09-22
Koninklijke HFC vs Dovo — team news & stats · 2026-09-22
Noordwijk vs Frisia · 2026-09-22
GVVV Veenendaal v DVS 33 Ermelo — match page · 2026-09-22
HHC v Barendrecht — match page · 2026-09-22

Before and after this match

Sparta Nijkerk, previous: Sparta Nijkerk v Venray analysis
Sparta Nijkerk, next: Hoek v Sparta Nijkerk analysis
UDI '19, previous: Rkvv Spartaan vs UDI '19 prediction

Sparta Nijkerk vs UDI '19 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	UDI '19	48.2%	2.07	—	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63.5%	1.58	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	64.6%	1.55	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.6%	1.32	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	51.8%	1.93	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Sparta Nijkerk	27.4%
	Draw	24.4%
	UDI '19	48.2%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63.5%
	Under 2.5	36.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	64.6%
	No	35.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	51.8%
	12 (either side)	75.6%
	X2 (draw or away)	72.6%
Handicap -1	UDI '19 win	27.6%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.6%
	Loss	51.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.9%
	1-2	9.3%
	2-1	6.9%

Sparta Nijkerk vs UDI '19 stats

Sparta Nijkerk and UDI '19 recent form

newest first

Sparta Nijkerk	WLWW
UDI '19	WLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Sparta Nijkerk vs UDI '19 head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sparta Nijkerk vs UDI '19 odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.