Hoek
vs
Sparta Nijkerk
4 – 2 Full time
| 4′ | Myron Bostdorp | ||
| 10′ | Wimilio Vink | ||
| 15′ | Thomas Buitink | ||
| 21′ | Wimilio Vink | ||
| 34′ | Leonard Ketels | ||
| 39′ | Myron Bostdorp | ||
| 45′ | Noah Aelterman | ||
| 46′ | Marc MaganLuciano Slagveer | ||
| 46′ | Jorrit FiegenRaymond Huizing | ||
| 51′ | Janic Makizodila | ||
| 54′ | Pim Betzema | ||
| 55′ | Thomas Buitink | ||
| 60′ | Wimilio VinkSam Krant | ||
| 64′ | Cederick Van Daele | ||
| 67′ | Dylan DemuynckAmadu Jalloh | ||
| 72′ | Jesper van DalenJoep Timmerman | ||
| 73′ | Myron BostdorpMarnick Steenpoorte | ||
| 75′ | Cederick Van Daele | ||
| 78′ | Démo KoidaKiyjano Hugo | ||
| 85′ | Cederick Van DaeleGertjan Martens | ||
| 86′ | Kevin HebbelinckJevairo Pengel |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 377 | Accurate passes | 230 |
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk
| Probability | Hoek | Draw | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.4% | 21.2% | 50.4% |
| Market | 64.3% | 20.4% | 15.3% |
| Final | 55.3% | 20.6% | 24.1% |
| Edge | -9.0% | +0.2% | +8.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hoek and Sparta Nijkerk expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.07
Hoek and Sparta Nijkerk attack and defence ratings
Hoek
Sparta Nijkerk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk: result vs prediction
Hoek 4 – 2 Sparta Nijkerk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hoek | 55.3% | 1.81 | -9.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hoek | 55.3% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Sparta Nijkerk | 24.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.1% |
| No | 24.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hoek win | 14.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.1% | |
| Loss | 71.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.1% |
| 1-1 | 7.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk stats
Hoek and Sparta Nijkerk recent form
| Hoek |
LWWW |
| Sparta Nijkerk |
WWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-04 | Sparta Nijkerk | Hoek | Derde Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Hoek | Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2022-03-22 | Hoek | Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-16 | Sparta Nijkerk | Hoek | Derde Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2020-02-15 | Sparta Nijkerk | Hoek | Derde Divisie | 2-5 |
| 2019-11-16 | Hoek | Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.3%, draw 20.4%, away 15.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.50 | 6.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.30 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.60 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 4.49 | 5.57 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .