TOGB
vs
Katwijk
3 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | A. Boujada | ||
| 66′ | Lars de Jong | ||
| 77′ | M. van Duinen | ||
| 86′ | Katwijk | ||
| 96′ | D. van Wageningen | ||
| 97′ | M. Suleiman | ||
| 99′ | F. Eijgenraam |
TOGB vs Katwijk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: TOGB vs Katwijk
| Probability | TOGB | Draw | Katwijk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.5% | 24.0% | 41.5% |
| Market | 16.6% | 20.3% | 63.1% |
| Final | 21.1% | 21.2% | 57.7% |
| Edge | +17.9% | +3.7% | -21.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
TOGB and Katwijk expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
TOGB and Katwijk attack and defence ratings
TOGB
Katwijk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
TOGB vs Katwijk: result vs prediction
TOGB 3 – 2 Katwijk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
TOGB vs Katwijk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Katwijk | 57.7% | 1.73 | -21.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TOGB | 21.1% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Katwijk | 57.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% |
| No | 30.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Katwijk win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
TOGB vs Katwijk stats
TOGB vs Katwijk head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-08 | Katwijk | TOGB | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
TOGB vs Katwijk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.6%, draw 20.3%, away 63.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.44 |
| 1xBet | 5.78 | 4.65 | 1.46 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 4.45 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 5.80 | 4.90 | 1.48 |
| Marathonbet | 5.75 | 4.65 | 1.45 |
| Pinnacle | 5.17 | 4.41 | 1.43 |
| Superbet | 5.35 | 4.55 | 1.45 |
| Unibet | 4.35 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .