Garuda Lions
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KNVB Beker · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

TOGB vs ROHDA Raalte

4 – 6 Full time

3′F. Eijgenraam
30′J. Weegman
51′W. Hansler
56′D. Rickhoff
61′J. Haars
70′M. Bulut
76′D. Rickhoff
78′S. Brand
85′D. Rickhoff
90′E. Bardi
TOGB 27%
Draw 19%
ROHDA Raalte 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

TOGB vs ROHDA Raalte overview

Garuda Lions analysis: TOGB vs ROHDA Raalte

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTOGBDrawROHDA Raalte
Model35.6%22.1%42.3%
Market24.6%18.6%56.9%
Final27.3%19.4%53.2%
Edge+11.1%+3.5%-14.6%

Confidence: Low

Why ROHDA Raalte

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 3 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

TOGB ↓ / ROHDA Raalte → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 4% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

TOGB and ROHDA Raalte expected goals

TOGB 1.91
ROHDA Raalte 2.09

Total expected goals: 4.00

TOGB and ROHDA Raalte attack and defence ratings

TOGB

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.07 +7%

ROHDA Raalte

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

TOGB vs ROHDA Raalte: result vs prediction

TOGB 4 – 6 ROHDA Raalte

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

TOGB vs ROHDA Raalte markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ROHDA Raalte 53.2% 1.88 -14.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.2% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.4% 1.33 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 80.6% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.7% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2TOGB27.3%
Draw19.4%
ROHDA Raalte53.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.2%
Under 2.523.8%
Both teams to scoreYes75.4%
No24.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.8%
12 (either side)80.6%
X2 (draw or away)72.7%
Handicap -1ROHDA Raalte win24.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss57.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.0%
1-27.6%
2-27.3%

TOGB vs ROHDA Raalte stats

TOGB and ROHDA Raalte recent form

newest first
TOGB WL
ROHDA Raalte LWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

TOGB vs ROHDA Raalte head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

TOGB vs ROHDA Raalte odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.6%, draw 18.6%, away 56.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.70 4.85 1.59
Bet365 3.75 6.00 1.57
BetVictor 5.75 5.25 1.36
Betano 3.50 4.55 1.65
Betfair 4.00 4.60 1.57
Marathonbet 3.62 4.90 1.57
Pinnacle 3.13 4.83 1.67
William Hill 3.60 4.50 1.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.66 ▼ -0.49
X 4.84 ▼ -0.06
2 1.58 ▲ +0.04

2 snapshots recorded, from .