Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 16

Coleraine FC vs Portadown

3 – 0 Full time

The Showgrounds, Coleraine

Coleraine FC 74%
Draw 16%
Portadown 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Coleraine FC vs Portadown overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coleraine FC vs Portadown

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColeraine FCDrawPortadown
Model64.7%21.9%13.4%
Market77.3%14.4%8.3%
Final74.2%16.3%9.6%
Edge-3.2%+1.9%+1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Coleraine FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coleraine FC ↓ / Portadown → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 10% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Coleraine FC and Portadown expected goals

Coleraine FC 2.06
Portadown 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.91

Coleraine FC and Portadown attack and defence ratings

Coleraine FC

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Portadown

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Coleraine FC vs Portadown: result vs prediction

Coleraine FC 3 – 0 Portadown

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 16 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Coleraine FC vs Portadown markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Coleraine FC 74.2% 1.35 -3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.7% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.4% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Coleraine FC win 41.2% 2.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coleraine FC74.2%
Draw16.3%
Portadown9.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.6%
Under 2.544.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.7%
No49.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.4%
12 (either side)83.7%
X2 (draw or away)25.8%
Handicap -1Coleraine FC win41.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss35.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.6%
1-110.5%
1-010.3%

Coleraine FC vs Portadown stats

Coleraine FC and Portadown recent form

newest first
Coleraine FC LDWWWW
Portadown DLLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Coleraine FC and Portadown going into this match

league record before kick-off

Coleraine FC record

  • They have won 11 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Portadown record

  • They have won 2 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 15 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Coleraine FC vs Portadown head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

9Coleraine FC wins 1Draws 0Portadown wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-28PortadownColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership0-3
2026-07-18Coleraine FCPortadownFriendlies Clubs3-0
2026-02-10Coleraine FCPortadownNorthern Ireland Premiership2-1
2025-10-25PortadownColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership0-2
2025-09-13PortadownColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership1-4
2025-03-22Coleraine FCPortadownPremiership1-0
2025-03-01Coleraine FCPortadownPremiership2-0
2024-09-17PortadownColeraine FCPremiership2-2
2023-07-22Coleraine FCPortadownFriendlies Clubs3-0
2023-01-14Coleraine FCPortadownPremiership4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Coleraine FC vs Portadown odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 77.3%, draw 14.4%, away 8.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.14 6.35 11.50
Bet365 1.20 6.00 9.50
BetVictor 1.15 4.60 8.50
Betano 1.22 5.70 10.25
Betfair 1.15 6.50 10.50
Dafabet 1.19 6.80 12.00
Marathonbet 1.14 6.35 11.50
Pinnacle 1.18 7.90 12.59
William Hill 1.18 7.00 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.18 ▲ +0.03
X 6.35 ▼ -0.85
2 11.00 ▼ -1.18

10 snapshots recorded, from .