Glentoran
vs
Bangor
2 – 1 Full time
Glentoran vs Bangor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Glentoran vs Bangor
| Probability | Glentoran | Draw | Bangor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.0% | 33.1% | 16.9% |
| Market | 65.5% | 19.5% | 15.0% |
| Final | 61.6% | 22.9% | 15.5% |
| Edge | -3.9% | +3.4% | +0.5% |
Why Glentoran
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Glentoran and Bangor expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.79
Glentoran and Bangor attack and defence ratings
Glentoran
Bangor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Glentoran vs Bangor: result vs prediction
Glentoran 2 – 1 Bangor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Glentoran vs Bangor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Glentoran | 61.6% | 1.62 | -3.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Glentoran | 61.6% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Bangor | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.2% |
| No | 67.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Glentoran win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.9% | |
| Loss | 50.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.9% |
| 0-0 | 17.9% | |
| 1-1 | 13.0% |
Glentoran vs Bangor stats
Glentoran and Bangor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Glentoran and Bangor going into this match
Glentoran record
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Bangor record
- They have won 3 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
Glentoran vs Bangor head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Glentoran | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Bangor | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-4 |
| 2025-11-28 | Bangor | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Glentoran | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-28 | Bangor | Glentoran | Irish Cup | 3-1 |
| 2023-07-08 | Glentoran | Bangor | Friendlies Clubs | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Glentoran vs Bangor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.5%, draw 19.5%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 4.70 | 6.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.10 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.34 | 4.70 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 5.18 | 6.61 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .