Carrick Rangers
vs
Crusaders FC
1 – 1 Full time
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC
| Probability | Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 22.7% | 27.4% |
| Market | 60.1% | 21.0% | 19.0% |
| Final | 57.5% | 21.4% | 21.1% |
| Edge | -2.6% | +0.4% | +2.1% |
Why Carrick Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.54.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Carrick Rangers and Crusaders FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.65
Carrick Rangers and Crusaders FC attack and defence ratings
Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC: result vs prediction
Carrick Rangers 1 – 1 Crusaders FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 57.5% | 1.74 | -2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 57.5% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Crusaders FC | 21.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% |
| No | 30.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Carrick Rangers win | 30.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC stats
Carrick Rangers and Crusaders FC recent form
| Carrick Rangers |
DLDDWW |
| Crusaders FC |
LWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Carrick Rangers and Crusaders FC going into this match
Carrick Rangers record
- They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
Crusaders FC record
- They have won 6 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 4-0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 6-1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-4 |
| 2024-12-30 | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-16 | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-01 | Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2023-12-30 | Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.1%, draw 21.0%, away 19.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 4.30 | 4.83 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.10 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.33 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 4.30 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55 | 4.78 | 5.08 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .