Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 16

Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC

2 – 1 Full time

Limavady Showgrounds, Limavady

Limavady United 20%
Draw 21%
Cliftonville FC 58%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLimavady UnitedDrawCliftonville FC
Model19.2%21.2%59.7%
Market20.9%21.5%57.6%
Final20.5%21.4%58.1%
Edge-0.4%-0.1%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cliftonville FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.25.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Limavady Unite ↓ / Cliftonville F → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 6% 6% 1 9% 10% 7% 7% 2 5% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Limavady United and Cliftonville FC expected goals

Limavady United 1.25
Cliftonville FC 2.28

Total expected goals: 3.53

Limavady United and Cliftonville FC attack and defence ratings

Limavady United

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Cliftonville FC

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC: result vs prediction

Limavady United 2 – 1 Cliftonville FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 16 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cliftonville FC 58.1% 1.72 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.5% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.5% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.3% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Limavady United20.5%
Draw21.4%
Cliftonville FC58.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.5%
Under 2.531.5%
Both teams to scoreYes64.9%
No35.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)41.9%
12 (either side)78.6%
X2 (draw or away)79.5%
Handicap -1Cliftonville FC win38.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss40.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.5%
1-19.2%
0-27.6%

Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC stats

Limavady United and Cliftonville FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Limavady United and Cliftonville FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Limavady United record

  • They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cliftonville FC record

  • They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.

Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Limavady United wins 0Draws 1Cliftonville FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-26Limavady UnitedCliftonville FCNorthern Ireland Premiership1-0
2024-10-01Limavady UnitedCliftonville FCLeague Cup0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.9%, draw 21.5%, away 57.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.33 4.20 1.57
Bet365 4.50 4.10 1.57
BetVictor 4.00 3.50 1.50
Betano 4.45 4.10 1.60
Betfair 4.33 4.20 1.55
Dafabet 4.50 4.40 1.62
Marathonbet 4.25 4.20 1.55
Pinnacle 4.57 4.61 1.63
William Hill 4.33 4.33 1.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.33 ▲ +0.40
X 4.20 ▲ +0.30
2 1.57 ▼ -0.12

12 snapshots recorded, from .