Livingston
vs
Morton
2 – 0 Full time
Livingston vs Morton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Livingston vs Morton
| Probability | Livingston | Draw | Morton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.5% | 23.0% | 18.5% |
| Market | 72.3% | 17.5% | 10.2% |
| Final | 68.8% | 18.9% | 12.3% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +1.4% | +2.1% |
Why Livingston
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.08.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Livingston and Morton expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Livingston and Morton attack and defence ratings
Livingston
Morton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Livingston vs Morton: result vs prediction
Livingston 2 – 0 Morton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Livingston vs Morton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 68.8% | 1.45 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 68.8% |
| Draw | 18.9% | |
| Morton | 12.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livingston win | 36.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 41.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.2% |
Livingston vs Morton stats
Livingston and Morton recent form
| Livingston |
DWWDLL |
| Morton |
WWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Livingston and Morton going into this match
Livingston record
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
Morton record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
Livingston vs Morton head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Morton | Livingston | Scotland Championship | 1-4 |
| 2025-04-12 | Morton | Livingston | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-25 | Livingston | Morton | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2024-12-07 | Morton | Livingston | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-12 | Livingston | Morton | Challenge Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Livingston | Morton | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-02 | Livingston | Morton | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2018-04-07 | Livingston | Morton | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2018-03-13 | Livingston | Morton | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2018-02-27 | Morton | Livingston | Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Livingston vs Morton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.3%, draw 17.5%, away 10.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.23 | 5.25 | 9.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 4.50 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.25 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.30 | 5.10 | 8.25 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.29 | 5.60 | 8.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 5.25 | 9.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30 | 5.79 | 8.99 |
| SBO | 1.25 | 4.84 | 7.14 |
| William Hill | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .