Partick
vs
Inverness CT
3 – 2 Full time
Partick vs Inverness CT overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Partick vs Inverness CT
| Probability | Partick | Draw | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.9% | 27.8% | 17.3% |
| Market | 50.6% | 25.9% | 23.5% |
| Final | 51.7% | 26.4% | 21.9% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +0.5% | -1.6% |
Why Partick
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Partick and Inverness CT expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Partick and Inverness CT attack and defence ratings
Partick
Inverness CT
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Partick vs Inverness CT: result vs prediction
Partick 3 – 2 Inverness CT
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Partick vs Inverness CT markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 51.7% | 1.93 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 51.7% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Inverness CT | 21.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.6% |
| No | 56.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 45.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.0% |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | |
| 2-0 | 11.8% |
Partick vs Inverness CT stats
Partick and Inverness CT recent form
| Partick |
WLWDWW |
| Inverness CT |
DLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Partick and Inverness CT going into this match
Partick record
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Inverness CT record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partick vs Inverness CT head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Inverness CT | Partick | Scotland Championship | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-13 | Partick | Inverness CT | Challenge Cup | 3-3 |
| 2024-03-30 | Partick | Inverness CT | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-17 | Inverness CT | Partick | Championship | 3-3 |
| 2023-12-23 | Partick | Inverness CT | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-07 | Inverness CT | Partick | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2023-03-24 | Inverness CT | Partick | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2022-12-23 | Partick | Inverness CT | Championship | 5-1 |
| 2022-10-07 | Inverness CT | Partick | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-19 | Partick | Inverness CT | Championship | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Partick vs Inverness CT odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 25.9%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.52 | 3.94 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.55 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.65 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.52 | 3.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.29 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .