Raith Rovers
vs
Partick
Garuda Lions Prediction: Raith Rovers
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Raith Rovers vs Partick overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Raith Rovers vs Partick
| Probability | Raith Rovers | Draw | Partick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 35.5% | 27.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.8% | 35.5% | 27.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Raith Rovers vs Partick match preview
Raith Rovers will face Partick in a closely contested match, with our model giving Raith Rovers a 37% chance of winning, while a draw is at 36% and Partick at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Raith Rovers, with an expected goals tally of 0.98 for Raith and 0.81 for Partick. Recent form shows Raith Rovers with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Partick has three wins, one draw, and one loss.
In their last ten encounters, Raith Rovers have secured three wins, while Partick has also won three times, with four matches ending in draws. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 27%, and both teams to score stands at 36%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Raith Rovers and Partick expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.79
Raith Rovers and Partick attack and defence ratings
Raith Rovers
Partick
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Raith Rovers vs Partick markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 36.8% |
| Draw | 35.5% | |
| Partick | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.9% |
| No | 64.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raith Rovers win | 14.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 63.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.1% |
| 1-0 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Raith Rovers vs Partick stats
Raith Rovers and Partick recent form
| Raith Rovers |
DWLDWW |
| Partick |
WLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Raith Rovers and Partick season so far
Raith Rovers record
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partick record
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Raith Rovers vs Partick head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Partick | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Raith Rovers | Partick | Scotland Championship | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Partick | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Raith Rovers | Partick | Scotland Championship | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Partick | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-21 | Partick | Raith Rovers | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Raith Rovers | Partick | Championship | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Partick | Raith Rovers | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-10 | Raith Rovers | Partick | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-17 | Raith Rovers | Partick | Premiership | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.