Elgin City
vs
Partick
Garuda Lions Prediction: Partick
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Elgin City vs Partick overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Elgin City vs Partick
| Probability | Elgin City | Draw | Partick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.6% | 29.5% | 38.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.6% | 29.5% | 38.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Elgin City vs Partick match preview
Elgin City faces Partick in the Scotland FA Cup with Elgin City holding a 32% chance of winning, while Partick is favored at 39%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a 10% probability. Elgin City has an expected goals figure of 1.17 compared to Partick's 1.32, indicating a slight edge for the visitors in offensive potential.
In terms of recent form, Elgin City has recorded four wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Partick has achieved four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. The probability of both teams scoring stands at 52%, with a 45% likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Elgin City and Partick expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Elgin City and Partick attack and defence ratings
Elgin City
Partick
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Elgin City vs Partick markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Elgin City | 31.6% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Partick | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | |
| 0-0 | 9.6% |
Elgin City vs Partick stats
Elgin City and Partick recent form
| Elgin City |
WLWWWL |
| Partick |
WLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Elgin City vs Partick head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Elgin City | Partick | Scotland FA Cup | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.