Peterhead
vs
Edinburgh City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Peterhead
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Peterhead vs Edinburgh City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Peterhead vs Edinburgh City
| Probability | Peterhead | Draw | Edinburgh City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 22.0% | 33.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.4% | 22.0% | 33.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Peterhead vs Edinburgh City match preview
In the upcoming FA Cup match, Peterhead faces Edinburgh City with a probability of victory for Peterhead at 44%, while Edinburgh City stands at 34%, and a draw is estimated at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Peterhead, with an 8% likelihood. The expected goals for Peterhead are 2.13, compared to 1.85 for Edinburgh City.
Recent form shows Peterhead with a draw, loss, and win in their last three matches, while Edinburgh City has recorded two wins, a loss, and a draw in their latest five games. The model indicates a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 75%, reflecting an expectation of an engaging and competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Peterhead and Edinburgh City expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.98
Peterhead and Edinburgh City attack and defence ratings
Peterhead
Edinburgh City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Peterhead vs Edinburgh City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterhead | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterhead | 44.4% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Edinburgh City | 33.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.0% |
| No | 25.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Peterhead win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.1% |
| 2-1 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Peterhead vs Edinburgh City stats
Peterhead and Edinburgh City recent form
| Peterhead |
DLW |
| Edinburgh City |
WLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.