Inverness CT
vs
Cove Rangers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inverness CT
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers
| Probability | Inverness CT | Draw | Cove Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.0% | 30.0% | 31.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.0% | 30.0% | 31.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers match preview
Inverness CT faces Cove Rangers in the Scotland FA Cup, with Inverness CT holding a 39% probability of winning compared to Cove Rangers' 31%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring at a 10% probability, while the chances for over 2.5 goals stand at 44%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 50%. Expected goals are calculated at 1.29 for Inverness CT and 1.13 for Cove Rangers.
Recent form shows Inverness CT with a mixed record of D-L-W-W-L-W, while Cove Rangers have been more consistent with D-W-L-W-W. In their last encounter, Cove Rangers emerged victorious, marking their only win against Inverness CT. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inverness CT and Cove Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Inverness CT and Cove Rangers attack and defence ratings
Inverness CT
Cove Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inverness CT | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inverness CT | 39.0% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Cove Rangers | 31.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inverness CT win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-0 | 10.2% |
Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers stats
Inverness CT and Cove Rangers recent form
| Inverness CT |
DLWWLW |
| Cove Rangers |
DWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-30 | Cove Rangers | Inverness CT | Scotland FA Cup | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.