Queen's Park
vs
Spartans
Garuda Lions Prediction: Spartans
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.81.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Queen's Park vs Spartans overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Queen's Park vs Spartans
| Probability | Queen's Park | Draw | Spartans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.9% | 31.2% | 46.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.9% | 31.2% | 46.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Spartans
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Queen's Park vs Spartans match preview
In the upcoming Scotland FA Cup match, Queen's Park faces Spartans with probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. Queen's Park holds a 22% chance of winning, while Spartans are favored at 47%, with a 31% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 14%.
Both teams have shown varied recent form, with Queen's Park experiencing four consecutive losses before a win, while Spartans have a more balanced record with two wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five matches. Expected goals suggest Queen's Park will struggle to find the net, projected at 0.81, compared to Spartans' 1.30. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 35%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 42%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Queen's Park and Spartans expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
Queen's Park and Spartans attack and defence ratings
Queen's Park
Spartans
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Ross County v Brora Rangers — match page
- Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers — team news & stats
- Queen of the South vs Dunfermline
- Montrose v Hamilton Academical — match page
- Annan Athletic vs Morton — team news & stats
- Elgin City vs Partick
- Peterhead v Edinburgh City — match page
- Stenhousemuir vs East Fife
Before and after this match
Queen's Park vs Spartans markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spartans | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Queen's Park | 21.9% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| Spartans | 46.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.7% |
| No | 58.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Spartans win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-1 | 14.0% | |
| 0-0 | 13.4% |
Queen's Park vs Spartans stats
Queen's Park and Spartans recent form
| Queen's Park |
LLLLWL |
| Spartans |
WLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.