Annan Athletic
vs
Morton
Garuda Lions Prediction: Annan Athletic
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.65.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Annan Athletic vs Morton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Annan Athletic vs Morton
| Probability | Annan Athletic | Draw | Morton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.3% | 22.9% | 30.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.3% | 22.9% | 30.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Annan Athletic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.65.
Annan Athletic vs Morton match preview
Annan Athletic faces Morton in the Scotland FA Cup with a forecasted probability of 46% for an Annan victory, while Morton stands at 31% and the draw at 23%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Annan Athletic, with an expected goals tally of 2.05 for Annan and 1.65 for Morton.
Both teams show a strong potential for scoring, with a 71% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Annan's recent form includes a draw and two wins in their last five matches, while Morton has experienced a mix of wins and losses, with three wins in their last five. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Annan Athletic and Morton expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.70
Annan Athletic and Morton attack and defence ratings
Annan Athletic
Morton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Ross County v Brora Rangers — match page
- Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers — team news & stats
- Queen of the South vs Dunfermline
- Montrose v Hamilton Academical — match page
- Elgin City vs Partick
- Peterhead v Edinburgh City — match page
- Queen's Park vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Stenhousemuir vs East Fife
Before and after this match
Annan Athletic vs Morton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Annan Athletic | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Annan Athletic | 46.3% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Morton | 30.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% |
| No | 28.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Annan Athletic win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Annan Athletic vs Morton stats
Annan Athletic and Morton recent form
| Annan Athletic |
DLWWL |
| Morton |
WWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.