Stenhousemuir
vs
East Fife
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stenhousemuir
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Stenhousemuir vs East Fife overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stenhousemuir vs East Fife
| Probability | Stenhousemuir | Draw | East Fife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.7% | 30.8% | 28.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.7% | 30.8% | 28.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Stenhousemuir vs East Fife match preview
Stenhousemuir enters this FA Cup fixture against East Fife with a recent form of four losses and one draw, indicating a challenging period for the team. Our model assigns Stenhousemuir a 41% probability of winning, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 12%. The expected goals for Stenhousemuir stand at 1.27, slightly higher than East Fife’s 1.02, which reflects a competitive match ahead.
East Fife has also struggled recently, recording two consecutive losses. The model gives them a 29% chance of victory, while a draw is estimated at 31%. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 40%, and both teams scoring is projected at 47%. With a confidence grade of C, the match could be closely contested, with both teams looking to improve their standings.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stenhousemuir and East Fife expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Stenhousemuir and East Fife attack and defence ratings
Stenhousemuir
East Fife
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Stenhousemuir vs East Fife markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stenhousemuir | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stenhousemuir | 40.7% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| East Fife | 28.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stenhousemuir win | 18.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 59.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Stenhousemuir vs East Fife stats
Stenhousemuir and East Fife recent form
| Stenhousemuir |
LLLLDL |
| East Fife |
LL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.