Ross County
vs
Brora Rangers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Brora Rangers
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.16.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ross County vs Brora Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ross County vs Brora Rangers
| Probability | Ross County | Draw | Brora Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.1% | 23.7% | 55.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.1% | 23.7% | 55.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Brora Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Ross County vs Brora Rangers match preview
In the upcoming FA Cup match, Ross County faces Brora Rangers, with a model prediction indicating a 21% chance of a Ross County win, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 55% probability of a Brora Rangers victory. The most likely scoreline suggested by the model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. Expected goals are calculated at 1.16 for Ross County and 1.97 for Brora Rangers, highlighting a potential advantage for the visitors.
Recent form shows Ross County struggling with a record of L-W-W-L-L-L, while Brora Rangers have been more successful, winning four of their last six matches with a record of W-W-L-L-W-W. The model indicates a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance that both teams will score, suggesting an engaging contest ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ross County and Brora Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Ross County and Brora Rangers attack and defence ratings
Ross County
Brora Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
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- Queen of the South vs Dunfermline
- Montrose v Hamilton Academical — match page
- Annan Athletic vs Morton — team news & stats
- Elgin City vs Partick
- Peterhead v Edinburgh City — match page
- Queen's Park vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Stenhousemuir vs East Fife
Before and after this match
Ross County vs Brora Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brora Rangers | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ross County | 21.1% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Brora Rangers | 55.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brora Rangers win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.5% |
Ross County vs Brora Rangers stats
Ross County and Brora Rangers recent form
| Ross County |
LWWLLL |
| Brora Rangers |
WWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.