Scotland FA Cup
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Brora Rangers
vs
Cowdenbeath
3 – 1 Full time
| 86′ | B. Mwangi | ||
| 90′ | C. Mackay | ||
| 101′ | J. Wallace | ||
| 119′ | C. Bunce | ||
| 119′ | S. Cameron | ||
| 119′ | S. Cameron |
Brora Rangers
71%
Draw
18%
Cowdenbeath
11%
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath
| Probability | Brora Rangers | Draw | Cowdenbeath |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.6% | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| Market | 73.8% | 17.2% | 9.0% |
| Final | 71.0% | 17.7% | 11.3% |
| Edge | -2.8% | +0.5% | +2.3% |
Why Brora Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.37.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Brora Rangers and Cowdenbeath expected goals
Brora Rangers
2.56
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Total expected goals: 3.93
Brora Rangers and Cowdenbeath attack and defence ratings
Brora Rangers
Attack
1.35 +35%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Cowdenbeath
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath: result vs prediction
Brora Rangers 3 – 1 Cowdenbeath
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle
- Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts — match page
- Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic — team news & stats
- Dumbarton vs Keith
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Stranraer vs Tayport — team news & stats
- Gretna 2008 v Cumnock Juniors — match page
- Stirling University vs Elgin City — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brora Rangers | 71.0% | 1.41 | -2.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Brora Rangers win | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brora Rangers | 71.0% |
| Draw | 17.7% | |
| Cowdenbeath | 11.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% |
| No | 30.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brora Rangers win | 42.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 37.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.6% | |
| 3-1 | 7.5% |
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath stats
Brora Rangers and Cowdenbeath recent form
| Brora Rangers |
WLLWW |
| Cowdenbeath |
WLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 73.8%, draw 17.2%, away 9.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.25 | 10.00 |