Brora Rangers
vs
Cowdenbeath
Garuda Lions Prediction: Brora Rangers
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.37.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath
| Probability | Brora Rangers | Draw | Cowdenbeath |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.6% | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 62.6% | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Brora Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.37.
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath match preview
Brora Rangers and Cowdenbeath face off in the Scotland FA Cup with Brora Rangers holding a 63% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from Brora, projected at 2.56 compared to Cowdenbeath's 1.37. The most likely scoreline is a 2-1 victory for Brora Rangers, with a 9% likelihood of occurring.
Both teams show recent form with Brora Rangers winning three of their last five matches, while Cowdenbeath has also secured three wins in their last five outings. The model indicates a high chance of over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 69%, suggesting an engaging match is anticipated. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brora Rangers and Cowdenbeath expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.93
Brora Rangers and Cowdenbeath attack and defence ratings
Brora Rangers
Cowdenbeath
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brora Rangers | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Brora Rangers win | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brora Rangers | 62.6% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| Cowdenbeath | 18.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% |
| No | 30.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brora Rangers win | 42.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 37.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.6% | |
| 3-1 | 7.5% |
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath stats
Brora Rangers and Cowdenbeath recent form
| Brora Rangers |
WLLWW |
| Cowdenbeath |
WLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.