Stranraer
vs
Tayport
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stranraer
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.45.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Stranraer vs Tayport overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stranraer vs Tayport
| Probability | Stranraer | Draw | Tayport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 23.5% | 27.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.4% | 23.5% | 27.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stranraer
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.45.
Stranraer vs Tayport match preview
Stranraer faces Tayport in the Scotland FA Cup on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Stranraer has a 49% chance of winning, while Tayport's probability stands at 27%, with a 24% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Stranraer is 2.00, compared to Tayport's 1.45, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Stranraer has recorded a draw, followed by two wins, a loss, and another win, while Tayport's last five matches include three wins and two losses. The model indicates a strong possibility of over 2.5 goals at 67%, as well as both teams scoring, also at 67%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stranraer and Tayport expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.45
Stranraer and Tayport attack and defence ratings
Stranraer
Tayport
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Hill Of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic — match page
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Threave Rovers vs Pollok
- Brora Rangers v Cowdenbeath — match page
Before and after this match
Stranraer vs Tayport markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stranraer | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stranraer | 49.4% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Tayport | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% |
| No | 32.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stranraer win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 6.7% |
Stranraer vs Tayport stats
Stranraer and Tayport recent form
| Stranraer |
DWWLW |
| Tayport |
WLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.