Scotland FA Cup
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Stranraer
vs
Tayport
3 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | D. Reid | ||
| 48′ | L. Dobbie | ||
| 80′ | K. Nair | ||
| 90′ | R. Foster |
Stranraer
49%
Draw
24%
Tayport
27%
Stranraer vs Tayport overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stranraer vs Tayport
| Probability | Stranraer | Draw | Tayport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 23.5% | 27.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.4% | 23.5% | 27.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stranraer
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.45.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Stranraer and Tayport expected goals
Stranraer
2.00
Tayport
1.45
Total expected goals: 3.45
Stranraer and Tayport attack and defence ratings
Stranraer
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Tayport
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stranraer vs Tayport: result vs prediction
Stranraer 3 – 1 Tayport
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle
- Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts — match page
- Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic — team news & stats
- Dumbarton vs Keith
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Brora Rangers v Cowdenbeath — match page
- Gretna 2008 v Cumnock Juniors — match page
- Stirling University vs Elgin City — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Stranraer vs Tayport markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stranraer | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stranraer | 49.4% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Tayport | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% |
| No | 32.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stranraer win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 6.7% |
Stranraer vs Tayport stats
Stranraer and Tayport recent form
| Stranraer |
DWWLW |
| Tayport |
WLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.