Garuda Lions
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Scotland FA Cup · Full time ·Round of 128

Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle

2 – 2 Full time

2′E. Spark
8′C. Main
31′J. Race
64′C. Kirk
120′C. Main
120′G. Young
120′R. Thompson
120′K. MacLeod
120′F. Macleod
120′J. McShane
120′M. Taylor
120′R. McRitchie
120′K. Bell
120′K. Fraser
120′M. Chisholm
Brechin 66%
Draw 17%
Strathspey Thistle 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBrechinDrawStrathspey Thistle
Model66.2%17.4%16.4%
Market———
Final66.2%17.4%16.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Brechin

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.42.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Brechin ↓ / Strathspey Thi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 2 6% 8% 6% 3 8% 5% 4+ 8% 11% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Brechin and Strathspey Thistle expected goals

Brechin 2.83
Strathspey Thistle 1.42

Total expected goals: 4.25

Brechin and Strathspey Thistle attack and defence ratings

Brechin

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Strathspey Thistle

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle: result vs prediction

Brechin 2 – 2 Strathspey Thistle

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brechin 66.2% 1.51 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.7% 1.26 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.0% 1.39 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.6% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Brechin win 47.0% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Brechin66.2%
Draw17.4%
Strathspey Thistle16.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.7%
Under 2.520.3%
Both teams to scoreYes72.0%
No28.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.6%
12 (either side)82.6%
X2 (draw or away)33.8%
Handicap -1Brechin win47.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss33.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.1%
3-17.7%
1-16.3%

Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle stats

Brechin and Strathspey Thistle recent form

newest first
Brechin DLWWLW
Strathspey Thistle WLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

9Brechin wins 0Draws 1Strathspey Thistle wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-13Strathspey ThistleBrechinFootball League - Highland League1-0
2025-08-02BrechinStrathspey ThistleFootball League - Highland League3-0
2025-03-26Strathspey ThistleBrechinFootball League - Highland League1-4
2024-09-07BrechinStrathspey ThistleFootball League - Highland League7-0
2024-01-27Strathspey ThistleBrechinFootball League - Highland League1-6
2023-09-16BrechinStrathspey ThistleFootball League - Highland League5-0
2023-01-28BrechinStrathspey ThistleFootball League - Highland League6-0
2022-09-03Strathspey ThistleBrechinFootball League - Highland League0-5
2022-03-19Strathspey ThistleBrechinFootball League - Highland League1-3
2021-10-30BrechinStrathspey ThistleFootball League - Highland League7-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.