Brechin
vs
Strathspey Thistle
Garuda Lions Prediction: Brechin
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.42.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle
| Probability | Brechin | Draw | Strathspey Thistle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.2% | 17.4% | 16.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 66.2% | 17.4% | 16.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Brechin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle match preview
Brechin enters the match against Strathspey Thistle with a strong probability of winning at 66%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1, with Brechin expected to achieve 2.83 goals compared to Strathspey Thistle's 1.42. Recent form shows Brechin with mixed results, recording a draw, two wins, and two losses in their last five matches, while Strathspey Thistle has one win and two losses in their recent outings.
Historically, Brechin has dominated their encounters with Strathspey Thistle, winning 9 out of the last 10 matches, with no draws and only one victory for Strathspey Thistle. The model indicates an 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% likelihood that both teams will score, suggesting an engaging match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brechin and Strathspey Thistle expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.25
Brechin and Strathspey Thistle attack and defence ratings
Brechin
Strathspey Thistle
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brechin | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Brechin win | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brechin | 66.2% |
| Draw | 17.4% | |
| Strathspey Thistle | 16.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% |
| No | 28.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brechin win | 47.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 33.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.1% |
| 3-1 | 7.7% | |
| 1-1 | 6.3% |
Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle stats
Brechin and Strathspey Thistle recent form
| Brechin |
DLWWLW |
| Strathspey Thistle |
WLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | Strathspey Thistle | Brechin | Football League - Highland League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Brechin | Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League | 3-0 |
| 2025-03-26 | Strathspey Thistle | Brechin | Football League - Highland League | 1-4 |
| 2024-09-07 | Brechin | Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League | 7-0 |
| 2024-01-27 | Strathspey Thistle | Brechin | Football League - Highland League | 1-6 |
| 2023-09-16 | Brechin | Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League | 5-0 |
| 2023-01-28 | Brechin | Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League | 6-0 |
| 2022-09-03 | Strathspey Thistle | Brechin | Football League - Highland League | 0-5 |
| 2022-03-19 | Strathspey Thistle | Brechin | Football League - Highland League | 1-3 |
| 2021-10-30 | Brechin | Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League | 7-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.