Scotland FA Cup Β· Β·Round of 64

Bo'ness United vs Brechin

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bo'ness United

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bo'ness United 44%
Draw 23%
Brechin 34%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Bo'ness United wins
44%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
73%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Bo'ness United vs Brechin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bo'ness United vs Brechin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBo'ness UnitedDrawBrechin
Model43.8%22.6%33.6%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final43.8%22.6%33.6%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Bo'ness United

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Bo'ness United vs Brechin match preview

Bo'ness United will face Brechin in the Scotland FA Cup, with kickoff scheduled for November 28, 2026. According to our model, Bo'ness United has a 44% probability of winning, while Brechin stands at 34%, and a draw is estimated at 23%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Bo'ness United, with an 8% likelihood. The model also indicates a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 73%.

In terms of expected goals, Bo'ness United is forecasted to score 2.05, while Brechin is expected to net 1.79. Recent form shows Bo'ness United with a record of W-W-L-L-W-W, while Brechin has D-D-L-W-W-L. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bo'ness United ↓ / Brechin β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Bo'ness United and Brechin expected goals

Bo'ness United 2.05
Brechin 1.79

Total expected goals: 3.84

Bo'ness United and Brechin attack and defence ratings

Bo'ness United

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Brechin

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Bo'ness United vs Brechin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bo'ness United 43.8% 2.28 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.8% 1.35 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 73.4% 1.36 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.4% 1.29 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 56.2% 1.78 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bo'ness United43.8%
Draw22.6%
Brechin33.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.8%
Under 2.526.2%
Both teams to scoreYes73.4%
No26.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.4%
12 (either side)77.4%
X2 (draw or away)56.2%
Handicap -1Bo'ness United win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss56.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.7%
2-18.1%
2-27.2%

Bo'ness United vs Brechin stats

Bo'ness United and Brechin recent form

newest first
Bo'ness United WWLLWW
Brechin DDLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bo'ness United vs Brechin head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bo'ness United vs Brechin odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Bo'ness United Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now