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Scotland FA Cup · Full time ·Round of 128

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic

2 – 1 Full time

18′A. Arnott
65′K. Mitchell
82′J. Allan
Bo'ness United 50%
Draw 24%
Forfar Athletic 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBo'ness UnitedDrawForfar Athletic
Model50.1%23.7%26.2%
Market———
Final50.1%23.7%26.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Bo'ness United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.40.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 5 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bo'ness United ↓ / Forfar Athleti → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 7% 2 7% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Bo'ness United and Forfar Athletic expected goals

Bo'ness United 1.97
Forfar Athletic 1.40

Total expected goals: 3.37

Bo'ness United and Forfar Athletic attack and defence ratings

Bo'ness United

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Forfar Athletic

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic: result vs prediction

Bo'ness United 2 – 1 Forfar Athletic

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bo'ness United 50.1% 2.00 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.5% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.8% 1.52 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.9% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bo'ness United50.1%
Draw23.7%
Forfar Athletic26.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.5%
Under 2.534.5%
Both teams to scoreYes65.8%
No34.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.8%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)49.9%
Handicap -1Bo'ness United win29.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss49.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
2-19.4%
2-06.7%

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic stats

Bo'ness United and Forfar Athletic recent form

newest first
Bo'ness United WLLWW
Forfar Athletic LWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.