Bo'ness United
vs
Forfar Athletic
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bo'ness United
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.40.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic
| Probability | Bo'ness United | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 23.7% | 26.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.1% | 23.7% | 26.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bo'ness United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.40.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 5 vs 2 for the opposition.
Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic match preview
Bo'ness United will host Forfar Athletic in the Scotland FA Cup, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Bo'ness United has a 50% probability of winning, while Forfar Athletic stands at 26%, and a draw is estimated at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Bo'ness United, with an expected goals tally of 1.97 for Bo'ness United and 1.40 for Forfar Athletic.
In terms of recent form, Bo'ness United has recorded two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Forfar Athletic has two wins, two losses, and one draw in the same period. Our model indicates a 65% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bo'ness United and Forfar Athletic expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
Bo'ness United and Forfar Athletic attack and defence ratings
Bo'ness United
Forfar Athletic
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bo'ness United | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bo'ness United | 50.1% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Forfar Athletic | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.8% |
| No | 34.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bo'ness United win | 29.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.7% |
Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic stats
Bo'ness United and Forfar Athletic recent form
| Bo'ness United |
WLLWW |
| Forfar Athletic |
LWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.