Gretna 2008
vs
Cumnock Juniors
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gretna 2008
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors
| Probability | Gretna 2008 | Draw | Cumnock Juniors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.2% | 26.0% | 34.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.2% | 26.0% | 34.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors match preview
Gretna 2008 and Cumnock Juniors face off in the Scotland FA Cup, with Gretna 2008 holding a slight edge in the 1X2 probabilities at 39%, compared to Cumnock Juniors at 35% and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Gretna 2008, with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoreline, as the model indicates a 63% chance for both teams to score and a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Gretna 2008 has alternated wins and losses in their last four matches, while Cumnock Juniors has secured three wins in their last five outings. The expected goals for Gretna 2008 stand at 1.60, while Cumnock Juniors follows closely with an expected goal tally of 1.50. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gretna 2008 and Cumnock Juniors expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Gretna 2008 and Cumnock Juniors attack and defence ratings
Gretna 2008
Cumnock Juniors
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gretna 2008 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gretna 2008 | 39.2% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Cumnock Juniors | 34.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.0% |
| No | 37.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gretna 2008 win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors stats
Gretna 2008 and Cumnock Juniors recent form
| Gretna 2008 |
WLWL |
| Cumnock Juniors |
WLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.