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Scotland FA Cup · Full time ·Round of 128

Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors

0 – 3 Full time

3′J. Craig
12′R. Edgar
54′J. Smith
Gretna 2008 39%
Draw 26%
Cumnock Juniors 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGretna 2008DrawCumnock Juniors
Model39.2%26.0%34.8%
Market———
Final39.2%26.0%34.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gretna 2008 ↓ / Cumnock Junior → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Gretna 2008 and Cumnock Juniors expected goals

Gretna 2008 1.60
Cumnock Juniors 1.50

Total expected goals: 3.10

Gretna 2008 and Cumnock Juniors attack and defence ratings

Gretna 2008

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Cumnock Juniors

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors: result vs prediction

Gretna 2008 0 – 3 Cumnock Juniors

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gretna 2008 39.2% 2.55 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.0% 1.59 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.8% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gretna 200839.2%
Draw26.0%
Cumnock Juniors34.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.8%
Under 2.540.2%
Both teams to scoreYes63.0%
No37.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.2%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)60.8%
Handicap -1Gretna 2008 win20.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss60.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
2-18.7%
1-28.1%

Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors stats

Gretna 2008 and Cumnock Juniors recent form

newest first
Gretna 2008 WLWL
Cumnock Juniors WLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Gretna 2008 vs Cumnock Juniors odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.