Scotland FA Cup · Full time ·Round of 128

Lochee United vs Spartans

1 – 2 Full time

7′M. McNulty
39′F. Allan
44′M. McNulty
Lochee United 26%
Draw 22%
Spartans 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Lochee United vs Spartans overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lochee United vs Spartans

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLochee UnitedDrawSpartans
Model50.3%22.5%27.3%
Market18.3%21.8%59.9%
Final26.3%22.0%51.7%
Edge+8.0%+0.2%-8.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lochee United ↓ / Spartans → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 6% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Lochee United and Spartans expected goals

Lochee United 2.13
Spartans 1.55

Total expected goals: 3.69

Lochee United and Spartans attack and defence ratings

Lochee United

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Spartans

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lochee United vs Spartans: result vs prediction

Lochee United 1 – 2 Spartans

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Lochee United vs Spartans markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Spartans 51.7% 1.93 -8.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.3% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.4% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.7% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lochee United26.3%
Draw22.0%
Spartans51.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.3%
Under 2.528.7%
Both teams to scoreYes70.4%
No29.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.3%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)73.7%
Handicap -1Spartans win13.0%
Push (exactly one goal)14.2%
Loss72.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.1%
2-18.9%
2-26.9%

Lochee United vs Spartans stats

Lochee United and Spartans recent form

newest first
Lochee United WLWLWW
Spartans LDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lochee United vs Spartans head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Lochee United vs Spartans odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.3%, draw 21.8%, away 59.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.74 4.15 1.53
Bet365 4.75 4.33 1.48
BetVictor 5.00 4.20 1.53
Betfair 5.00 4.50 1.50
Dafabet 5.00 4.70 1.56
Marathonbet 4.65 4.15 1.51
William Hill 5.00 4.00 1.57

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.