Lochee United
vs
Spartans
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lochee United
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.55.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Lochee United vs Spartans overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lochee United vs Spartans
| Probability | Lochee United | Draw | Spartans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.3% | 22.5% | 27.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.3% | 22.5% | 27.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Lochee United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.55.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Lochee United vs Spartans match preview
In the upcoming FA Cup match, Lochee United is set to face Spartans, with a 50% probability of Lochee United winning, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 27% likelihood of a Spartans victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Lochee United, with a 9% probability. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 71%, while both teams scoring is forecasted at 70%.
Recent form shows Lochee United with a record of W-L-W-L-W-W, indicating a solid performance trend, while Spartans have had mixed results with L-D-W-W-L. Expected goals for Lochee United are at 2.13, compared to Spartans' 1.55, suggesting a competitive match ahead. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lochee United and Spartans expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
Lochee United and Spartans attack and defence ratings
Lochee United
Spartans
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Lochee United vs Spartans markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lochee United | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lochee United | 50.3% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Spartans | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% |
| No | 29.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lochee United win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Lochee United vs Spartans stats
Lochee United and Spartans recent form
| Lochee United |
WLWLWW |
| Spartans |
LDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.