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Scotland FA Cup · Full time ·Round of 128

Stirling University vs Elgin City

1 – 2 Full time

17′K. Hester
72′O. Colloty
80′F. Regan
Stirling University 48%
Draw 23%
Elgin City 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Stirling University vs Elgin City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stirling University vs Elgin City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStirling UniversityDrawElgin City
Model48.0%23.2%28.7%
Market———
Final48.0%23.2%28.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Stirling University

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.54.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stirling Unive ↓ / Elgin City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Stirling University and Elgin City expected goals

Stirling University 2.02
Elgin City 1.54

Total expected goals: 3.56

Stirling University and Elgin City attack and defence ratings

Stirling University

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Elgin City

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stirling University vs Elgin City: result vs prediction

Stirling University 1 – 2 Elgin City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Stirling University vs Elgin City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stirling University 48.0% 2.08 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.0% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.0% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.0% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stirling University48.0%
Draw23.2%
Elgin City28.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.0%
Under 2.531.0%
Both teams to scoreYes69.0%
No31.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.3%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)52.0%
Handicap -1Stirling University win28.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss52.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
2-18.9%
2-26.9%

Stirling University vs Elgin City stats

Stirling University and Elgin City recent form

newest first
Stirling University WLWL
Elgin City LWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Stirling University vs Elgin City head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Stirling University vs Elgin City odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.