Stirling University
vs
Elgin City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stirling University
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.54.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Stirling University vs Elgin City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stirling University vs Elgin City
| Probability | Stirling University | Draw | Elgin City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 23.2% | 28.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.0% | 23.2% | 28.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stirling University
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.54.
Stirling University vs Elgin City match preview
Stirling University enters the match against Elgin City with a probability of 48% to win, while Elgin City has a 29% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Stirling University, with a 9% likelihood. Both teams have a 69% probability of scoring, and there is a 69% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals. Expected goals for Stirling University stand at 2.02, compared to Elgin City’s 1.54.
In terms of recent form, Stirling University has recorded a mixed set of results with a W-L-W-L sequence, while Elgin City has shown more consistency with a recent record of L-W-W-W-L-W. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stirling University and Elgin City expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Stirling University and Elgin City attack and defence ratings
Stirling University
Elgin City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
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- Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts — match page
- Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic — team news & stats
- Dumbarton vs Keith
- Hill Of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic — match page
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Threave Rovers vs Pollok
- Brora Rangers v Cowdenbeath — match page
Before and after this match
Stirling University vs Elgin City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stirling University | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stirling University | 48.0% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Elgin City | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.0% |
| No | 31.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stirling University win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Stirling University vs Elgin City stats
Stirling University and Elgin City recent form
| Stirling University |
WLWL |
| Elgin City |
LWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.