Scotland FA Cup Β· Β·Round of 64

Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin

Garuda Lions Prediction: Stranraer

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.32.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stair Park, Stranraer

Stranraer 49%
Draw 25%
Clachnacuddin 26%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Stranraer wins
49%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
63%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStranraerDrawClachnacuddin
Model49.0%24.7%26.3%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final49.0%24.7%26.3%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Stranraer

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.32.

Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin match preview

Stranraer enters the match against Clachnacuddin with a 49% probability of winning, while Clachnacuddin has a 26% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Stranraer, with an expected goals tally of 1.86 for Stranraer and 1.32 for Clachnacuddin. Additionally, there is a 62% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score, with a 63% probability.

In terms of recent form, Stranraer has recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Clachnacuddin has achieved three wins and two losses in the same timeframe. This sets the stage for an intriguing encounter in the Scotland FA Cup, with both teams showing competitive form leading into the match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stranraer ↓ / Clachnacuddin β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Stranraer and Clachnacuddin expected goals

Stranraer 1.86
Clachnacuddin 1.32

Total expected goals: 3.18

Stranraer and Clachnacuddin attack and defence ratings

Stranraer

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Clachnacuddin

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stranraer 49.0% 2.04 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.5% 1.62 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 62.9% 1.59 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 51.0% 1.96 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stranraer49.0%
Draw24.7%
Clachnacuddin26.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
Both teams to scoreYes62.9%
No37.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.7%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)51.0%
Handicap -1Stranraer win28.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss51.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-19.5%
2-07.2%

Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin stats

Stranraer and Clachnacuddin recent form

newest first
Stranraer WDWWLW
Clachnacuddin WWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Stranraer Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now