Stranraer
vs
Clachnacuddin
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stranraer
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.32.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin
| Probability | Stranraer | Draw | Clachnacuddin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 24.7% | 26.3% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 49.0% | 24.7% | 26.3% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Stranraer
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.32.
Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin match preview
Stranraer enters the match against Clachnacuddin with a 49% probability of winning, while Clachnacuddin has a 26% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Stranraer, with an expected goals tally of 1.86 for Stranraer and 1.32 for Clachnacuddin. Additionally, there is a 62% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score, with a 63% probability.
In terms of recent form, Stranraer has recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Clachnacuddin has achieved three wins and two losses in the same timeframe. This sets the stage for an intriguing encounter in the Scotland FA Cup, with both teams showing competitive form leading into the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stranraer and Clachnacuddin expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Stranraer and Clachnacuddin attack and defence ratings
Stranraer
Clachnacuddin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stranraer | 49.0% | 2.04 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.62 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stranraer | 49.0% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Clachnacuddin | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% |
| No | 37.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stranraer win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
Stranraer vs Clachnacuddin stats
Stranraer and Clachnacuddin recent form
| WDWWLW | |
| WWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.