Scotland FA Cup Β· Β·Round of 128

Huntly vs Annan Athletic

Garuda Lions Prediction: Huntly

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.62.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Huntly 54%
Draw 21%
Annan Athletic 25%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Huntly wins
54%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
74%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Huntly vs Annan Athletic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Huntly vs Annan Athletic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHuntlyDrawAnnan Athletic
Model54.2%20.8%25.0%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final54.2%20.8%25.0%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Huntly

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.62.

Huntly vs Annan Athletic match preview

Huntly enters this FA Cup fixture with a 54% probability of victory against Annan Athletic, who have a 25% chance of winning. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Huntly, with an 8% chance of occurrence. Huntly's expected goals stand at 2.40, while Annan Athletic's is 1.62, indicating a potential for a high-scoring match.

Recent form shows Huntly with a record of W-L-L-D, while Annan Athletic has L-W-W-L. The model suggests a 76% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 74% probability that both teams will score. With a confidence grade of C, this matchup presents an intriguing contest in the FA Cup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Huntly ↓ / Annan Athletic β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 7% 5% 4+ 4% 7% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Huntly and Annan Athletic expected goals

Huntly 2.40
Annan Athletic 1.62

Total expected goals: 4.02

Huntly and Annan Athletic attack and defence ratings

Huntly

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Annan Athletic

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Huntly vs Annan Athletic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Huntly 54.2% 1.84 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.4% 1.31 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 73.6% 1.36 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.2% 1.26 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 45.8% 2.18 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Huntly54.2%
Draw20.8%
Annan Athletic25.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.4%
Under 2.523.6%
Both teams to scoreYes73.6%
No26.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.0%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)45.8%
Handicap -1Huntly win34.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss45.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.4%
1-17.7%
2-26.8%

Huntly vs Annan Athletic stats

Huntly and Annan Athletic recent form

newest first
Huntly WLLD
Annan Athletic LWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Huntly vs Annan Athletic head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Huntly vs Annan Athletic odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Huntly Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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