Huntly
vs
Annan Athletic
Garuda Lions Prediction: Huntly
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.62.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Huntly vs Annan Athletic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Huntly vs Annan Athletic
| Probability | Huntly | Draw | Annan Athletic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.2% | 20.8% | 25.0% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 54.2% | 20.8% | 25.0% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Huntly
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.62.
Huntly vs Annan Athletic match preview
Huntly enters this FA Cup fixture with a 54% probability of victory against Annan Athletic, who have a 25% chance of winning. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Huntly, with an 8% chance of occurrence. Huntly's expected goals stand at 2.40, while Annan Athletic's is 1.62, indicating a potential for a high-scoring match.
Recent form shows Huntly with a record of W-L-L-D, while Annan Athletic has L-W-W-L. The model suggests a 76% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 74% probability that both teams will score. With a confidence grade of C, this matchup presents an intriguing contest in the FA Cup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Huntly and Annan Athletic expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.02
Huntly and Annan Athletic attack and defence ratings
Huntly
Annan Athletic
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Huntly vs Annan Athletic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huntly | 54.2% | 1.84 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% | 1.36 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.2% | 1.26 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.8% | 2.18 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huntly | 54.2% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Annan Athletic | 25.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% |
| No | 26.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Huntly win | 34.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 45.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.4% |
| 1-1 | 7.7% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Huntly vs Annan Athletic stats
Huntly and Annan Athletic recent form
| WLLD | |
| LWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.