Queen's Park
vs
Livingston
Garuda Lions Prediction: Livingston
0 – 1 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.68.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Queen's Park vs Livingston overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Queen's Park vs Livingston
| Probability | Queen's Park | Draw | Livingston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.3% | 27.9% | 56.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 15.3% | 27.9% | 56.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Livingston
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Queen's Park vs Livingston match preview
In the upcoming match between Queen's Park and Livingston, the probabilities indicate a strong advantage for Livingston, who have a 57% chance of winning compared to Queen's Park's 15%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 0.68 for Queen's Park and 1.54 for Livingston. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Queen's Park recording four losses in their last six matches, while Livingston has two wins and two draws in the same period.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 38%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 40%. Historically, in their last encounter, Livingston secured a win against Queen's Park, who have yet to claim a victory in their recent head-to-head. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Queen's Park and Livingston expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Queen's Park and Livingston attack and defence ratings
Queen's Park
Livingston
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Queen's Park vs Livingston markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Queen's Park | 15.3% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Livingston | 56.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.9% |
| No | 60.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livingston win | 30.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.6% |
| 0-2 | 12.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.5% |
Queen's Park vs Livingston stats
Queen's Park and Livingston recent form
| Queen's Park |
LLLLWL |
| Livingston |
DWWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Queen's Park and Livingston season so far
Queen's Park record
- They have won 2 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 14 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Livingston record
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
Queen's Park vs Livingston head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Livingston | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.