Scotland FA Cup Β· Β·Round of 64

Clydebank vs Livingston

Garuda Lions Prediction: Clydebank

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.87.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Clydebank 51%
Draw 29%
Livingston 21%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Clydebank wins
51%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
46%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Clydebank vs Livingston overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Clydebank vs Livingston

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityClydebankDrawLivingston
Model50.8%28.7%20.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final50.8%28.7%20.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Clydebank

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Clydebank vs Livingston match preview

Clydebank faces Livingston in the Scotland FA Cup with a predicted win probability of 51% for Clydebank, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 29% and Livingston at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Clydebank, with a 13% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Clydebank are 1.50, compared to 0.87 for Livingston, indicating a stronger attacking performance anticipated from the home side.

In terms of recent form, Clydebank has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Livingston has two wins, two draws, and two losses. The model suggests a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance that both teams will score, reflecting a competitive matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Clydebank ↓ / Livingston β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 7% 1 13% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Clydebank and Livingston expected goals

Clydebank 1.50
Livingston 0.87

Total expected goals: 2.36

Clydebank and Livingston attack and defence ratings

Clydebank

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Livingston

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Clydebank vs Livingston markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Clydebank 50.8% 1.97 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.0% 1.72 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 53.9% 1.86 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.5% 1.26 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 49.2% 2.03 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Clydebank50.8%
Draw28.7%
Livingston20.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.0%
Under 2.558.0%
Both teams to scoreYes46.1%
No53.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.5%
12 (either side)71.3%
X2 (draw or away)49.2%
Handicap -1Clydebank win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss49.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-012.9%
0-010.7%

Clydebank vs Livingston stats

Clydebank and Livingston recent form

newest first
Clydebank WWLWWL
Livingston DWWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Clydebank vs Livingston head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Clydebank vs Livingston odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Clydebank Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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