Clydebank
vs
Livingston
Garuda Lions Prediction: Clydebank
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.87.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Clydebank vs Livingston overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Clydebank vs Livingston
| Probability | Clydebank | Draw | Livingston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 28.7% | 20.5% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 50.8% | 28.7% | 20.5% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Clydebank
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Clydebank vs Livingston match preview
Clydebank faces Livingston in the Scotland FA Cup with a predicted win probability of 51% for Clydebank, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 29% and Livingston at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Clydebank, with a 13% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Clydebank are 1.50, compared to 0.87 for Livingston, indicating a stronger attacking performance anticipated from the home side.
In terms of recent form, Clydebank has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Livingston has two wins, two draws, and two losses. The model suggests a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance that both teams will score, reflecting a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Clydebank and Livingston expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Clydebank and Livingston attack and defence ratings
Clydebank
Livingston
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Clydebank vs Livingston markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Clydebank | 50.8% | 1.97 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.86 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% | 1.26 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Clydebank | 50.8% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Livingston | 20.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Clydebank win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 0-0 | 10.7% |
Clydebank vs Livingston stats
Clydebank and Livingston recent form
| WWLWWL | |
| DWWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.