Troon FC
vs
Raith Rovers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Raith Rovers
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Troon FC vs Raith Rovers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Troon FC vs Raith Rovers
| Probability | Troon FC | Draw | Raith Rovers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 27.1% | 40.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.2% | 27.1% | 40.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Raith Rovers
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Troon FC vs Raith Rovers match preview
Troon FC faces Raith Rovers in the Scotland FA Cup with kickoff scheduled for November 28, 2026. According to our model, Troon FC has a 32% chance of winning, while Raith Rovers holds a 41% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. Expected goals are calculated at 1.34 for Troon FC and 1.53 for Raith Rovers, indicating a competitive match.
In terms of recent form, Troon FC has secured two consecutive wins, while Raith Rovers has recorded a draw, a win, a loss, another draw, and two wins in their last six matches. Our model suggests a 55% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an engaging encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Troon FC and Raith Rovers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Troon FC and Raith Rovers attack and defence ratings
Troon FC
Raith Rovers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
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- Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers — team news & stats
- Queen of the South vs Dunfermline
- Montrose v Hamilton Academical — match page
- Annan Athletic vs Morton — team news & stats
- Elgin City vs Partick
- Peterhead v Edinburgh City — match page
- Queen's Park vs Spartans — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Troon FC vs Raith Rovers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Troon FC | 32.2% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Raith Rovers | 40.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raith Rovers win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 59.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
Troon FC vs Raith Rovers stats
Troon FC and Raith Rovers recent form
| Troon FC |
WW |
| Raith Rovers |
DWLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.