Troon FC
vs
Caledonian Braves
Garuda Lions Prediction: Caledonian Braves
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 5 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Troon FC vs Caledonian Braves overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Troon FC vs Caledonian Braves
| Probability | Troon FC | Draw | Caledonian Braves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.4% | 23.0% | 40.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.4% | 23.0% | 40.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Caledonian Braves
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 5 vs 1 for the opposition.
Troon FC vs Caledonian Braves match preview
Troon FC will face Caledonian Braves in the Scotland FA Cup on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Troon FC has a 36% chance of winning, while Caledonian Braves stands at 41%, with a 23% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Caledonian Braves, with an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a 73% probability for each team finding the net, and the model anticipates over 2.5 goals in the match at a rate of 73%.
In terms of expected goals, Troon FC is projected to score 1.83, while Caledonian Braves is expected to net 1.94. Troon FC enters the match with a recent win, while Caledonian Braves has a mixed form with two wins and two losses in their last five matches. The overall confidence grade for this fixture is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Troon FC and Caledonian Braves expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.77
Troon FC and Caledonian Braves attack and defence ratings
Troon FC
Caledonian Braves
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Hill Of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic — match page
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Threave Rovers vs Pollok
- Brora Rangers v Cowdenbeath — match page
Before and after this match
Troon FC vs Caledonian Braves markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caledonian Braves | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Troon FC | 36.4% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Caledonian Braves | 40.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.7% |
| No | 27.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Caledonian Braves win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 59.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.0% |
| 1-2 | 7.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Troon FC vs Caledonian Braves stats
Troon FC and Caledonian Braves recent form
| Troon FC | W |
| Caledonian Braves |
WLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.