Rangers
vs
Aberdeen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rangers
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.77.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Rangers vs Aberdeen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rangers vs Aberdeen
| Probability | Rangers | Draw | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.9% | 23.0% | 13.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 63.9% | 23.0% | 13.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Rangers vs Aberdeen match preview
Rangers are set to face Aberdeen in the Scotland Premiership with a strong probability of victory at 64%, while Aberdeen's chances sit at 13%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring at a rate of 13%. Rangers have shown impressive recent form, recording five wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Aberdeen's form is more mixed, with two wins, two draws, and two losses in the same period.
The expected goals for Rangers is 1.94, compared to Aberdeen's 0.77, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side. Additionally, there is a 51% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring has a probability of 47%. In their last four encounters, Rangers have dominated with four wins and no draws or losses against Aberdeen.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rangers and Aberdeen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Rangers and Aberdeen attack and defence ratings
Rangers
Aberdeen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rangers vs Aberdeen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rangers | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rangers win | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rangers | 63.9% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Aberdeen | 13.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rangers win | 39.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 36.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-1 | 11.0% |
Rangers vs Aberdeen stats
Rangers and Aberdeen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rangers and Aberdeen season so far
Rangers record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aberdeen record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Rangers vs Aberdeen head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Aberdeen | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Rangers | Aberdeen | Scotland Premiership | 4-1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Aberdeen | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-06 | Rangers | Aberdeen | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.