ST Mirren
vs
Rangers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rangers
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.82.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Rangers is the favourite, not a value bet.
ST Mirren vs Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ST Mirren vs Rangers
| Probability | ST Mirren | Draw | Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.2% | 26.6% | 56.3% |
| Market | 14.2% | 19.7% | 66.0% |
| Final | 15.0% | 21.4% | 63.6% |
| Edge | +0.7% | +1.7% | -2.4% |
Why Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.8% per unit staked (our 63.6% × 1.45 − 1).
ST Mirren vs Rangers match preview
In the upcoming match between ST Mirren and Rangers, the probabilities indicate a strong advantage for Rangers, with a 65% likelihood of victory compared to ST Mirren's 14%. The most likely scoreline projected by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. Rangers have shown solid recent form, going unbeaten in their last six matches, while ST Mirren has struggled, managing only one win in their last six outings.
The expected goals for this match suggest ST Mirren will generate around 0.82, while Rangers are forecasted to score approximately 1.66. Additionally, there is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% likelihood that both teams will score. In their last ten encounters, Rangers have dominated with six wins, while ST Mirren has secured two victories and two draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ST Mirren and Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
ST Mirren and Rangers attack and defence ratings
ST Mirren
Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
ST Mirren vs Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rangers | 63.6% | 1.57 | -2.4% | 1.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ST Mirren | 15.0% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Rangers | 63.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.4% |
| No | 53.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rangers win | 31.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-1 | 12.5% | |
| 0-2 | 11.6% |
ST Mirren vs Rangers stats
ST Mirren and Rangers recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ST Mirren and Rangers season so far
ST Mirren record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rangers record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ST Mirren vs Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Rangers | ST Mirren | Scotland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Rangers | ST Mirren | League Cup | 5-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | ST Mirren | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Rangers | ST Mirren | Scotland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | ST Mirren | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-26 | ST Mirren | Rangers | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Rangers | ST Mirren | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2024-12-26 | ST Mirren | Rangers | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Rangers | ST Mirren | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-28 | ST Mirren | Rangers | Premiership | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ST Mirren vs Rangers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.3%, draw 19.5%, away 66.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.55 | 4.80 | 1.41 |
| Bet365 | 6.50 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.50 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 6.40 | 4.85 | 1.45 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 5.00 | 1.45 |
| Marathonbet | 6.55 | 4.80 | 1.40 |
| Pinnacle | 7.06 | 4.91 | 1.41 |
| SBO | 5.80 | 4.22 | 1.36 |
| William Hill | 6.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
24 snapshots recorded, from .