Garuda Lions
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Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 2

Granada vs Mallorca

2 – 0 Full time

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes, GranadaReferee: Saul Ais Reig, Spain

Granada 30%
Draw 30%
Mallorca 39%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Granada vs Mallorca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Granada vs Mallorca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGranadaDrawMallorca
Model28.9%28.0%43.1%
Market30.8%31.0%38.1%
Final30.3%30.3%39.4%
Edge-1.9%-3.1%+5.0%

Confidence: Medium

Why Mallorca

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 1.19.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Mallorca below the model: +5.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Granada ↓ / Mallorca → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Granada and Mallorca expected goals

Granada 1.19
Mallorca 1.49

Total expected goals: 2.68

Granada and Mallorca attack and defence ratings

Granada

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Mallorca

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Granada vs Mallorca: result vs prediction

Granada 2 – 0 Mallorca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Granada vs Mallorca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mallorca 39.4% 2.54 +5.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.3% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.2% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.7% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.0% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Granada30.3%
Draw30.3%
Mallorca39.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.3%
Under 2.549.7%
Both teams to scoreYes55.2%
No44.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.6%
12 (either side)69.7%
X2 (draw or away)69.7%
Handicap -1Mallorca win21.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss57.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-29.1%
0-19.0%

Granada vs Mallorca stats

Granada and Mallorca recent form

newest first
Granada DLLLLW
Mallorca WWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Granada vs Mallorca head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Granada wins 1Draws 2Mallorca wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-03-16MallorcaGranadaLa Liga1-0
2023-08-26GranadaMallorcaLa Liga3-2
2022-05-07MallorcaGranadaLa Liga2-6
2021-12-19GranadaMallorcaLa Liga4-1
2020-07-16MallorcaGranadaLa Liga1-2
2020-01-05GranadaMallorcaLa Liga1-0
2019-06-04MallorcaGranadaSegunda División1-1
2018-10-14GranadaMallorcaSegunda División1-0
2013-03-03GranadaMallorcaLa Liga1-2
2012-10-07MallorcaGranadaLa Liga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Granada vs Mallorca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.0%, draw 31.1%, away 38.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.20 3.00 2.36
1xBet 3.10 3.10 2.51
888Sport 2.90 2.90 2.50
Bet365 3.00 2.90 2.55
BetVictor 2.90 3.00 2.40
Betano 3.20 3.00 2.47
Betfair 2.88 3.00 2.30
Dafabet 3.10 3.05 2.50
Marathonbet 3.02 3.02 2.44
Pinnacle 3.16 3.09 2.55
SBO 2.87 2.95 2.36
Superbet 3.10 3.00 2.52
Unibet 2.95 3.00 2.33
William Hill 3.00 2.88 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.02 ▲ +0.06
X 3.00 —
2 2.44 ▼ -0.07

6 snapshots recorded, from .