Granada
vs
Tenerife
Garuda Lions Prediction: Granada
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.96.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Granada vs Tenerife overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Granada vs Tenerife
| Probability | Granada | Draw | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.8% | 22.4% | 15.8% |
| Market | 52.4% | 27.0% | 20.6% |
| Final | 54.8% | 25.8% | 19.4% |
| Edge | +2.3% | -1.1% | -1.2% |
Why Granada
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Granada below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.3% per unit staked (our 54.8% × 1.85 − 1).
Granada vs Tenerife match preview
Granada hosts Tenerife in a Segunda División clash, with Granada holding a 48% probability of winning compared to Tenerife's 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, which has a 10% likelihood. Granada has shown strong recent form, winning four of their last five matches, while Tenerife has struggled, managing only three draws and two losses in their last five outings.
In terms of expected goals, Granada is forecasted to score 1.88, while Tenerife is projected at 0.97. Both teams have a 54% probability of scoring in the match, and there is also a 54% chance that the total goals will exceed 2.5. The previous head-to-head encounter saw Granada secure a victory, further influencing the match dynamics.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Granada and Tenerife expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Granada and Tenerife attack and defence ratings
Granada
Tenerife
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Granada vs Tenerife markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Granada | 54.8% | 1.83 | +2.3% | 1.85 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Granada win | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Granada | 54.8% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Tenerife | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% |
| No | 45.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Granada win | 38.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 38.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Granada vs Tenerife stats
Granada and Tenerife recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Granada and Tenerife season so far
Granada record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Tenerife record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Granada vs Tenerife head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | Tenerife | Granada | Copa del Rey | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Granada vs Tenerife odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.8%, draw 26.4%, away 21.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.80 | 4.59 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.40 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.55 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.66 | 4.24 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 3.02 | 3.59 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .