Leganes
vs
Albacete
Garuda Lions Prediction: Leganes
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Leganes is the favourite, not a value bet.
Leganes vs Albacete overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leganes vs Albacete
| Probability | Leganes | Draw | Albacete |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 28.5% | 33.5% |
| Market | 45.1% | 27.3% | 27.5% |
| Final | 43.3% | 27.6% | 29.0% |
| Edge | -1.8% | +0.3% | +1.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.13, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (our 43.3% × 2.13 − 1).
Leganes vs Albacete match preview
Leganes will host Albacete in a Segunda División clash, with Leganes holding a 45% probability of winning, while Albacete has a 28% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Leganes, which has a 9% likelihood. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Leganes experiencing a streak of six games without a win (L-D-L-L-L-L) and Albacete winning two of their last three matches (W-W-L-L-L-L).
In terms of expected goals, Leganes is projected to score 1.38, while Albacete is forecasted at 1.28. The model indicates a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability that both teams will score. Historically, Leganes has a slight edge in their last three encounters, winning two matches compared to Albacete's one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leganes and Albacete expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Leganes and Albacete attack and defence ratings
Leganes
Albacete
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Leganes vs Albacete markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leganes | 43.3% | 2.31 | -1.8% | 2.13 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leganes | 43.3% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Albacete | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leganes win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 62.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Leganes vs Albacete stats
Leganes and Albacete recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leganes and Albacete season so far
Leganes record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Albacete record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Leganes vs Albacete head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Leganes | Albacete | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Leganes | Albacete | Segunda División | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Albacete | Leganes | Segunda División | 1-3 |
| 2025-12-04 | Leganes | Albacete | Copa del Rey | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-12 | Albacete | Leganes | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-27 | Leganes | Albacete | Segunda División | 2-0 |
| 2023-01-16 | Albacete | Leganes | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-02 | Leganes | Albacete | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2022-07-30 | Leganes | Albacete | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2021-02-14 | Leganes | Albacete | Segunda División | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leganes vs Albacete odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.1%, draw 27.3%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.57 | 3.48 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.45 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.46 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.51 | 3.50 |
| SBO | 1.99 | 3.04 | 3.16 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .