Trival Valderas
vs
Leganes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Trival Valderas
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Trival Valderas vs Leganes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trival Valderas vs Leganes
| Probability | Trival Valderas | Draw | Leganes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.0% | 30.5% | 25.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.0% | 30.5% | 25.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Trival Valderas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.95.
Trival Valderas vs Leganes match preview
Trival Valderas faces Leganes in the Copa del Rey with the match set to kick off on October 28, 2026. According to our model, Trival Valderas holds a 45% probability of winning, while Leganes has a 25% chance, and a draw stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Trival Valderas, with an 11% probability.
In terms of expected goals, Trival Valderas is forecasted to score 1.42, compared to Leganes' 1.00. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44%, and both teams are projected to score with a probability of 49%. Leganes enters the match with a recent form of L-L-L-W-L-D, indicating some struggles. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trival Valderas and Leganes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Trival Valderas and Leganes attack and defence ratings
Trival Valderas
Leganes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Trival Valderas vs Leganes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trival Valderas | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trival Valderas | 44.0% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Leganes | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trival Valderas win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 56.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.6% |
Trival Valderas vs Leganes stats
Trival Valderas and Leganes recent form
| Trival Valderas | no matches on record |
| Leganes |
LLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.